Obama’s Court Pick, Sotomayor, Keeps Gun Stocks Soaring

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Jun 022009
 

Without knowing it, Obama is making Sturm Ruger & Co and Smith & Wesson too big to fail!


President Obama’s nomination of federal appeals court Judge Sonia Sotomayor to replace retiring Supreme Court Justice David Souter heralds yet another victory for gun-makers. Yes, you read that right.

Let me explain.

While most investors have been rightly focused on the crisis in the markets and economy lately, some Americans have been focusing on other political issues, namely the Second Amendment.

They wonder, will the Obama Administration and new Supreme Court nominee Sonia Sotomayor put the right to bear arms in jeopardy? Clearly, many think so, as evidenced by an increase in gun sales and an associated rally in gun stocks.

Indeed, two of my favorite gun stocks, Sturm Ruger & Co. (RGR) and Smith & Wesson (SWHC), rallied Thursday on the news of Sotomayor’s nomination. But it’s not just Sotomayor’s nomination that has been lifting the gun-makers. The recession has helped, too.

Buying protection

You wouldn’t think a recession as deep as the one we’ve been experiencing would be a boon to gun sales, but many citizens are arming themselves expressly because of the recession. You see, the recession has brought massive budget cuts to many municipalities. That means less fire and police protection. In response, gun sales are on the rise.

My response to this undercurrent is to recommend stocks that take advantage of the increase in gun sales.

Two of my favorite stocks to buy now make guns.

Sturm Ruger & Co. (RGR) is one of the leaders in the space, producing products across the firearm spectrum. The company is enjoying growing sales at a time of recession due to the political undercurrent. I rate the stock an A or Strong Buy.

Smith & Wesson (SWHC) was made famous by Clint Eastwood’s, “Dirty Harry” character. Some poor management decisions helped push SWHC to under $2 per share prior to the election last November.

But post-election, the stock has doubled in value. I expect more of the same until the administration can definitively ease concern regarding the Second Amendment.

I rate SWHC a B or Buy.

Another benefactor of the boom in gun sales is the sporting goods retail space. I have a good friend that owns a very small independent sporting goods shop. He can’t keep enough gun products on the shelves.

That bodes well for sporting goods superstore, Cabela’s (CAB). Retail sales have struggled during this recession, but gun sales are easing the pain for CAB. That, combined with expectations of economic recovery, have pushed CAB to pre-financial crisis levels.

I rate CAB a B or Buy.

The market is treading water due to the tug and pull of the inflation and deflation camps. The gun story though seems to be on a straight shot higher. Investors can benefit by following that trend.

Source…


Is this the end of America?

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Mar 202009
 

Stay strong and remember this quote from a great man who symbolized all that is great with America:

“Be courageous! … I have seen many depressions in business. Always America has come out stronger and more prosperous. Be as brave as your fathers before you. Have faith! Go forward.” ~ Thomas Edison


Helicopter Ben Bernanke’s Federal Reserve is dropping trillions of fresh paper dollars on the world economy, the President of the United States is cracking jokes on late night comedy shows, his energy minister is threatening a trade war over carbon emissions, his treasury secretary is dithering over a banking reform program amid rising concerns over his competence and a monumentally dysfunctional U.S. Congress is launching another public jihad against corporations and bankers.

As an aghast world — from China to Chicago and Chihuahua — watches, the circus-like U.S. political system seems to be declining into near chaos. Through it all, stock and financial markets are paralyzed. The more the policy regime does, the worse the outlook gets. The multi-ringed spectacle raises a disturbing question in many minds: Is this the end of America?

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What Does One Trillion Dollars Look Like?

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Mar 142009
 

What does one TRILLION dollars look like?

All this talk about “stimulus packages” and “bailouts”…

A billion dollars…

A hundred billion dollars…

Eight hundred billion dollars…

One TRILLION dollars…

What does that look like? I mean, these various numbers are tossed around like so many doggie treats, so I thought I’d take Google Sketchup out for a test drive and try to get a sense of what exactly a trillion dollars looks like.

We’ll start with a $100 dollar bill. Currently the largest U.S. denomination in general circulation. Most everyone has seen them, slighty fewer have owned them. Guaranteed to make friends wherever they go.

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A packet of one hundred $100 bills is less than 1/2″ thick and contains $10,000. Fits in your pocket easily and is more than enough for week or two of shamefully decadent fun.

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Believe it or not, this next little pile is $1 million dollars (100 packets of $10,000). You could stuff that into a grocery bag and walk around with it.

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While a measly $1 million looked a little unimpressive, $100 million is a little more respectable. It fits neatly on a standard pallet…

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And $1 BILLION dollars… now we’re really getting somewhere…

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Next we’ll look at ONE TRILLION dollars. This is that number we’ve been hearing about so much. What is a trillion dollars? Well, it’s a million million. It’s a thousand billion. It’s a one followed by 12 zeros.

You ready for this?

It’s pretty surprising.

Go ahead…

Scroll down…

Ladies and gentlemen… I give you $1 trillion dollars…

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(And notice those pallets are double stacked.)

So the next time you hear someone toss around the phrase “trillion dollars”… that’s what they’re talking about.

(step by step calculations & dimensions are here for those who may be interested)

Feel free to pass this information on!

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